What's happening with the altseason index?

in AVLE 일상15 days ago

Stock Market Information for Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency in the cryptocurrency market.
  • The price is currently $119,201.00, up $1,111.00 (0.01%) from the previous close.
    The intraday high is $119,436.00, and the intraday low is $117,428.00.

Stock Market Information for Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum is a cryptocurrency in the cryptocurrency market.
  • The price is currently $3,726.42, up $137.42 (0.04%) from the previous close.
    The intraday high is $3,757.14, and the intraday low is $3,529.88.

📌 What's happening with the altseason index?

The Altcoin Season Index shows that only 41% of the top 50 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin over the past 90 days, down from 59% on July 21, reflecting a notable drop. To be considered an “altseason,” this index must exceed 75%.

❗ This decline means that the rotation into altcoins has cooled, although analysts see this as a healthy correction, not a complete collapse. The market is reportedly taking comfort, rebalancing after a bullish period.


🔍 Context: Are we in a sustained phase?

  1. Capital Rotation: The index remains around 41%, with movements from BTC to ETH and XRP, reflecting a phase 3 crypto cycle (rotation into large altcoins).
  2. Bitcoin Dominance: BTC dominance has dropped from ~66% to ~64%, indicating a slight emphasis on altcoins, but is still at relatively high levels.
  3. Technical Momentum Phase: According to Swissblock and BeInCrypto, the index reached its highest level since February (35 out of 100), suggesting that altcoins may be bottoming out before a recovery.

⚠️ What does it mean for you?

  • Short Term: Altcoin momentum has moderated after a strong stretch. This pullback could be healthy and pave the way for a future rally.

  • For Investors: If you already have exposure to altcoins, this could be a good time to rebalance—make sure you're not overexposed and manage risk.

  • Strategic Opportunity: Some analysts see this as a window to accumulate altcoins with strong fundamentals ahead of potential rallies.


🔄 Upcoming Moves to Watch

IndicatorWhat to Watch
Altcoin Season IndexReclaiming 50–75 levels signals emerging altseason
Bitcoin DominanceA significant decline (<60%) could mark a structural shift
ETF FlowContinued inflow into ETH via ETFs indicates capital rotation
Movement in Select AltcoinsETH, XRP, SOL, BNB… their strength may herald a broader rally

✅ Final Summary

  • The altseason index has fallen, halting the “full altseason” narrative.
  • This is not a dramatic collapse, but rather a natural consolidation phase.
  • The fundamentals of rotation and flows into altcoins are still present.
  • Stay tuned for signs of recovery in the index and investment flows.
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