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RE: Time to be wrong, and go long.
Problem is ertwro, is that I always think like you. Something goes up huge, it should have more of a pull back. Maybe it does eventually, the thing is with crypto, I have to remind myself not to underestimate the up-side. A lot of people day by day keep getting attracted to it, and many don't care where they buy-in at. I'm now in the mega-top scenerio. We hit 4k or 5k before the true top forms. Only alternative is something like a massive head and shoulders that hits like 3,600 with a gradual decline from there.
I'm leaning toward the mega-top now, though. BTC needs to retest 3,000 and hold that now, I think. If it holds that retest, expect a large rally.
Yeah, Tone Vays (and his magic secret indicators) have a similar theory about testing this support level for a couple weeks, just yesterday he mentioned $3500 as a safe trend. At the moment I have 5% of all my original fiat in Crypto precisely to not miss out, Although at this moment is close to 90% of my net worth.