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RE: A list of possible Black Swans - Part 1
There are times when I feel that we are inexorably heading for a disaster as a civilization, because climate change pressures on our food production and wars for subsistence resources are generated; that is because the established powers decide to eradicate or stop the growth of other rising powers, which would not be taken for granted and a conflict would erupt.
In spite of the terrible of these ideas, it is interesting to address them and go thinking that it could be done in these scenarios, of course, remembering that in the field of social sciences we will not have the certainty that there is in the old scientific disciplines of past centuries, but knowing that today's actions lead us to tomorrow...
Thanks for the comment. Indeed, history can sometimes serve as a guide. But we cannot wrongly assume that history is bound to repeat itself.