Why_the_Dumb_Method_Works_Better_in_Crypto_Futures_Trading

in #htx • yesterday

Many traders become overwhelmed by complex indicators and high-frequency trading, often resulting in substantial losses. However, our group of self-proclaimed "fools" adhered to an astonishingly simple approach, achieving a win rate exceeding 95% and steadily growing small accounts into millions through compounding. The essence of this strategy lies in three fundamental rules: avoid greed, refrain from guessing, and never oppose the market!

Deconstructing the 95% win-rate "fool's method": three straightforward steps that anyone can master—trading futures becomes as intuitive as advancing in a game. No elaborate techniques needed; simply align with the dominant trend. This strategy is remarkably simple, ideal for reference on your screen.

1️⃣ Coin Selection: Focus exclusively on the "Big Two"—avoid becoming exit liquidity!

BTC + ETH, nothing else.
Why? Their substantial market capitalizations, stable trends, and resistance to whale manipulation make them reliable. Steering clear of altcoin volatility is essential for sustaining high win rates.

2️⃣ Entry: Strictly follow the trend; never attempt to predict tops or bottoms!

Only analyze the 4H chart with MA60 (60-period moving average).
Price > MA60 and line ascending → Exclusively enter long positions!
Price < MA60 and line descending → Exclusively enter short positions!
Avoid questioning potential reversals; let the trend dictate your actions.
For example: BTC's rise from $40K to $70K in 2024. By adhering to the MA60 long strategy, you would have confidently ridden the uptrend without being shaken out by corrections!

3️⃣ Stop Loss & Take Profit: Apply fixed ratios without hesitation!

Stop Loss: 5%—an unbreakable rule. For a $10,000 position, exit immediately if it falls to $9,500. Never hold on; even if the price recovers, prioritize capital preservation to remain in the market.
Take Profit: 10%—upon reaching the target, exit the trade. For a $10,000 position, take profits at $11,000!

💥 The ultimate secret for beginners to accumulate wealth rapidly: the Futures Rolling Compound Strategy!
A high win rate provides the foundation, while compounding serves as the accelerator—use profits to scale positions without risking your original capital.

Step 1: Consistently risk only 20% of your capital per trade!

$100,000 bankroll? First trade = $20,000. Secure the remaining $80,000.
Even a total loss (with a 5% stop loss, equating to $1,000) leaves your core capital intact.

Step 2: Reinvest profits; increase position size only upon doubling the profit pool!

$20,000 yields $2,000 profit (10%) → transfer the $2,000 to the "profit pool."
Next trade remains at $20,000.
Once the profit pool reaches $20,000 (matching initial capital), raise the base position to $30,000.
All expansions derive from profits, ensuring capped risk if losses occur.

How to grow $100K into $1M?

Assumptions: each trade averages 15 days (typical for mainstream coin cycles), 95% win rate, 10% take profit.

Round 1: $20,000 → $2,000 profit → profit pool = $2,000.

Round 10: profit pool = $20,000 → position size increases to $30,000 → $3,000 profit per win.

Round 30: profit pool = $50,000 → position size increases to $70,000 → $7,000 profit per win.

Master this approach to achieve steady growth in crypto—accumulating profits consistently! 🚀

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