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RE: TIB: Today I Bought (and Sold) - An Investors Journal #291 - Turkey, Greece, Airlines, Video Gaming, Japan Govt Bonds

in #investing7 years ago

I don't know if Greece will outperform now, debt is still very high and it can be hit again in case of an emerging market selloff. Or a new European debt crisis, or a refugees wave.

May be those could be the right time to buy.

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What the charts tell me is that in the last 12 months Greece has not under-performed a European index. Yes it has been a whole lot more volatile.

What the Price to Book Valuation table tells me is the book values are low. If they have taken enough action to write down the book values, there is potential for stock values to rise. There is a 42% gap in valuation to Emerging Europe and more to Turkey. Close half that gap and there is a 20% stock advance.

Is all the bad news is already in the price? Is most of the bad news in the price? Can it get any worse? How much worse can it go? That is the step of belief in making the trade.

Aug31Greece.JPG

https://www.starcapital.de/en/research/stock-market-valuation/

Now Turkey is a different situation. Yes it has a PB of 1.1. It can go down to where Emerging Europe is or worse to where Greece is.