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RE: Re-Drafting the 2011 NBA Draft - Top 10
Nice write up. Don't disagree with any of your picks...just wondering if you have taken into account the business side of things. It's been 6 years since the draft...is ranking the best to worst the most important factor or how they did during those 6 years so far.
I try to take into account as much as I can, but this is simply a thought exercise. It's impossible to predict whether a certain player going to a different team changes the trajectory of either the player or the team since we don't have that information. I'm not really sure what your question is asking since I think most would agree that getting the best possible player at your pick is going to prove to be the best course of action.
Let me ask another way. If you could draft the player that will be the best player 10 years from now, would you take that player now? Or would you take the player that will be the best of the bunch for the first 3-4 years but will never improve past that point to hang with the others?
I think you could argue it either way, but it depends on a multitude of factors including current team construction, positional need, and predicting future moves. I would say that the cream tends to rise to the top though. Kawhi, Kyrie, Butler, and Klay are all far superior to the guys below them so after those first four picks there is quite a drop off.
I try to take into account some of the variables I mentioned above, but there's zero way to know whether a player develops the same way in a different place. I honestly don't think Kawhi Leonard turns into a potential-MVP candidate in any other franchise, so there is only so much prediction and assuming one can do in an exercise like this one.
Yeah that's true. Kawhi would have been a very different player with a different team.