RE: STEEM POLITICS - WHALE WEALTH IS LIKE BITCOIN - Making the whole Ecosystem Stronger
They are undoubtedly the most skilled and shrewd of the investor class. The free market when allowed to function properly (hear that Wall Street) will always determine fair value, in large part due to the whales.
I would generally agree, except for the fact that some whales got there purely through "dumb luck" (ie. "sometimes it's better to be lucky than smart"), and that's just fine too. The real problem is that for at least some whales, it's that big money often changes people and skews how they think, as they succumb to the "hubris" of it all. And next thing, you have people like George Soros trying to force the world into their twisted version of how they think it should be.
That's why it's so important to stay humble regardless, and definitely don't just blindly follow a "whale" into a trade, lest your "whale guru" turns out to be the next Bill Ackman. The following video is worth watching as well. However, I would direct you first to watch 18:40->20:05, where Novogratz says the following:
"Not one of my friends from the hedge fund world, the giant macro funds, or the long short equity investors that you read about in the papers... I don't know one that has a significant holding of this stuff. And bubbles don't end until they BUY."
Going back to steemit, for those of you who may have tried out randowhale or Whaleshares, this may help you maximize the effect of your "whale votes": The "SECRET" to properly summoning randowhale and Whaleshares to MAXIMIZE your ROI!
Thanks for posting the video, really interesting to hear his take on the future of this market . One point that he mentions which has been foremost is my mind is this is a "true" global market. It's not the Nikkei, Dow, S&P or Nasdaq, this is a market that encompasses the world. When equities, commodities and bond money start flowing into this sector looking for gains or a safe haven, we could see the market capitalization of a lot of these currencies go parabolic.
I absolutely agree that not all whales are savvy investors, even a blind squirrel will find a nut every now and then, but I feel the vast majority are. It's one thing to have money, another thing to keep the money, and quite another thing to grow that money. A close friend who's a broker told me years ago, that his largest, most successful clients were extremely patient and very, very decisive when they make a move. A phrase I heard at a seminar several years ago sums it up, "Big money doesn't chase the market, it makes the market, and eventually due to greed, breaks the market."
You may want to check out my post "EOS Highlights and Favorites from Ethereal and Consensus 2017". It also has links to free online versions of the books he referenced, both great books that I myself have read numerous times in the past.
Also, you may find this post by Martin Armstrong insightful as well: Personal Questions and "The Club".
And yes, I've seen that too... I even knew a few "billionaires" back in the dot.com bubbles days who were literally wiped out and forced into bankruptcy after the bubble burst...
It's all fun and games til someone loses a (insert your favorite noun)! lol
I'll definitely check out your post. Thanks for the link!