I forsee a few of these more popular projects sticking it out but for the most part what will happens is many of them will fade out.

I agree with this and think it hits the nail on the head. The projects that develop a growing community are going to be the ones that succeed and, in turn, see their token have value. The flip side is those that do not, will drift off into the sunset.

It all comes down to ecosystem (community). One that is thriving and active stands a chance. It is up to the community to help bring in new people. Steemleo needs to target investors....actifit needs fitness and exercise people....splinterlands needs gamers....sportstalk needs sports fans.